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OPINION POLLS (30.07.07) |
(2007-07-30) |
Last updated: 2007-07-31 17:02 EET |
It is hard to have a clear image of Romanian political reality by taking into account two opinion polls, almost totally contradicting each other and issued at only one day distance from one another. The best you can do is to take notice of them and try to compare them, which is exactly what WE did. One of the polls, the GALLUP survey points to the fact that if elections for the European Parliament were held next week, 50 % of Romanians would go to the polls while a meager 12% said they wouldn’t bother casting their ballot. And yet, the second opinion poll conducted by CURS reveals that a stout 51% majority are hardly, if at all, interested in the Euro-ballot, actually a very good test ahead of the domestic parliamentary elections due next year.
When it comes to the number of votes each Romanian party would get for the Strasbourg Parliament elections, both GALLUP and CURS agree. So pride of place is still held by the pro-presidential Democratic Party holding about 40% of the vote intentions. The next one, quite far behind is the main opposition party, the Social Democratic Party, , with a mere 20%, and the governing Liberals, with 12%. The New Generation Party, outside parliament , has soared in the polls with a bracing 10% according to the GALLUP poll , while the CURS polling rate the same party with only 6%. We could say it is not only figures that matter, but also the fact that the aforementioned party has constantly been on an upward trend and is actually towed up by its leader Gigi Becali, a powerful businessman, philanthropist billionaire and populist new star who literally shot his way up in the polls as far as “confidence in political personalities” is concerned.
In this respect of personality evaluation, opinion polls are once again contradicting each other. If the CURS team see Basescu comfortably seated next to the sound 55%, GALLUP is adamant in stating the percentage of Romanians confident or over-confident in the incumbent head of state plummeted from 63% to 43% between May and July this year. It all stemmed from the president’s delay in promulgating the law whereby state pensions, currently very low , would increase substantially this fall. In exchange, President’s avowed rival, liberal Prime Minister Calin Popescu Tariceanu has climbed up from 14 to 21% in the confidence of Romanians, according to the Gallup poll. We conclude by saying according to the CURS opinion poll , more than half of Romanians believe things are going in the wrong direction in this country. And from the GALLUP survey we find out 21% of Romanians agree while 62% disagree with the way Justice and Parliament function in this country.
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