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IN THE NEWS 05/10/2009 |
(2009-10-05) |
Last updated: 2009-10-06 17:34 EET |
He didn’t make this announcement on prime time TV or at a formal party meeting, but in the small rural town of Sannicolau Mare, in the west, while shaking hands with the crowds in the open air. Under the Constitution, the head of state is not a member of any party, so Basescu will officially run as an independent, but will be supported by the pro-presidential Liberal Democratic Party in power, the non-parliamentary National Democratic Peasant Party, Social Democratic and Liberal splinter groups and NGOs.
In his first address as a presidential candidate, Basescu adopted an honest approach and admitted that neither the authorities, nor the National Bank can take the country out of the crisis which he described as a ‘global phenomenon’. Dependant on what is happening at international level and especially on the European market, Romania will, in Basescu’s opinion, resume its positive economic growth in the second quarter of 2010, but not before Germany, France, Britain and Spain, which are Romania’s main markets for exports.
Although Basescu claimed that a possible candidacy depended on the success of the anti-crisis measures of the coalition government set up in December 2008 and made up of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Social Democratic Party, analysts say he was not very convincing. For the moment opinion polls credit Basescu, without exception, as the favourite of the first round of the presidential election due on November 22nd when he is supposed to get over 30% of the votes. And irrespective of who the other runner up is, Basescu is also deemed to be the virtual winner of the runoff, scheduled for December 6th.
But the electoral game is on. And the Speaker of the Senate, Social Democrat Mircea Geoana, the Liberal leader Crin Antonescu and even the EMP and head of the New Generation Party George Becali are convinced that they can reach the final. The stringent issues then will be the re-configuration of the pro and anti-Basescu camps as well as the ability of the current president to make people forget about the failures of his first mandate and the inertia of a coalition government, which became a single party government after the resignation of all Social Democratic ministers. And these days the new cabinet will have to deal with the threat of a censure motion tabled by the Liberal opposition and with the virulence of the trade unions exasperated by its social policies.
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