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| WILL ROMANIA HAVE A NEW GOVERNMENT? (23.05.2007) |
| (2007-05-23) |
| Last updated: 2007-05-24 15:14 EET |
The May 19 referendum, which reconfirmed Traian Basescu as president of Romania, did not appease the political crisis Romania has been in the throes of for months. The failure to suspend the president has boosted tensions within parties, with many voices calling for a change in strategy or in the parties’ own leadership. The parties that had teamed up to suspend Basescu only a month ago, no longer appear willing to work together as efficiently to break the deadlock. The Social Democratic Party is still lured by the prospect of regaining power, but ratings show that its popular support has dramatically eroded. This makes a victory the least likely, should early elections be held. Social Democratic leader Mircea Geoana:
“We deny speculations in the media regarding the decision of the Social Democratic Party to enter the government. The purpose of our talks with other parties is to clarify the political situation in Parliament, where there is a minority government with no defined relation with the Social Democratic Party or other parliamentary parties. The easiest way for the Social Democratic Party is to remain in opposition. The responsibility we have as a party is that no formula can be reached in Romania without the votes of our MPs.”
The Conservatives, now out of the government, but opportunistic supporters of the minority government, are considering denying parliamentary support to prime minister Tariceanu. Conservative Party leader Dan Voiculescu has even mentioned a motion of censure:
”We are an opposition party and will remain as such until future elections are held. We believe that over the coming weeks, the Tariceanu cabinet will have to face a motion of censure. This will most likely be initiated by the Social Democratic Party. It is only natural for us to vote for the government’s dismissal, if such a motion emerges.”
The Democratic Party, an avid supporter of Basescu, along with the Liberal Democratic Party, seems to still relish its referendum victory. Its only option for the time being is the organisation of early elections. If elections are held, one single party is less likely to win the majority. This fact makes things harder for Basescu. He will be constrained to exercise his mediator role, a stance that he has failed to meet properly. Analyst Cristian Parvulescu:
“We have a president reconfirmed by the popular vote which wants a majority as well as to head this majority. In the Parliament’s current version, Basescu will not find parties which can hail him as a chief. Neither the Social Democratic party nor the National Liberal party, the Democratic Union of Ethnic Hungarians in Romania, the Conservative Party or the Greater Romania Party for that matter. Basescu only has one party he can rely on, that is the Democratic Party, plus the Liberal Democratic party. This party only has a 20% force and there is still a lot to go to 50%.”
Since neither the Democratic Union of Ethnic Hungarians in Romania, nor the Greater Romania Party have decided on the next steps and neither of them carries the necessary weight to determine significant changes in the situation, it will be the main parties, the Social Democratic Party, the National Liberal Party and the Democratic Party that will play the political game and wage a bitter war to hang on to, or win, power. Too weak to rule on their own but too different to make up an alliance, they seem doomed to struggle to reach the forbidden fruit. Analyst Cristian Parvulescu does not rule out a maintained political status quo, at least until the European parliamentary elections:
“So I expect the National Liberal Party to endure and unwind during the weeks to come before this fall’s European elections.”
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